Post by Commissioner Erick on Oct 24, 2019 21:35:35 GMT -5
Philadelphia Phillies (45-26) @ New York Yankees (28-41)
PHI: Thomas Eshelman (5-3, 3.04)
NYY: N. Bremer (0-1, 9.00)
The Philadelphia Phillies are part of a dogfight for the NL East lead, as the entire division has put itself in contention for the playoffs. The Phillies have the best offense in the league, plus the deepest, which will be a problem for a struggling New York Yankees staff. The Yankees were supposed to have a dominant bullpen, but its 12th in AL ERA. Their staff, besieged by injuries, will see Noah Bremer make his second career start. The Yankees can slug their way out of a hole, but can they keep the Phillies to single-digits?
Players to Watch:
Phillies:
CF—Odubel Herrera:
An All-Star the past two years, Herrer'a struggles and Philadelphia's depth have resulted in Herrera getting demoted for Andrew Toles. Herrera's hitting just .213 with three home runs in roughly 200 plate appearances, and with the NL East so cutthroat, the Phillies don't have the luxury of seeing if he'll round into form. With rookie Darick Hall supplying a jolt of power at First Base and moving Yordan Alvarez to DH, the Philies are opting to go for the average-and defense of Andrew Toles in Left Field. Herrera's still getting chances, going 2-7 in a pair of outings last week. Those hits though are his only hits over his last 27 at bats. Should Herrera turn it around, he'll likely be back in the lineup, and is still one of the best insurance policies around.
1B—Yordan Alvarez:
The former Rule-V pick Alvarez has taken his game to another level this year, and will look to show it off—on his birthday! Happy Birthday Yordan! Alvarez hit .257 and .255 his first two seasons, with 26 and 21 home runs. This year, the average is up to .292, and if his power numbers were extrapolated to a full season's worth of games he's on pace for 35. A back injury took a chunk out of Alvarez' season, but he's been injuring the pitching his faced this year. One thing to keep in mind: Some of his production this year has been fueled by uncharacteristic success against left-handed pitching in a small sample. If that reverts, or he simply begins to face more lefties, Alvarez will look more like an excellent supporting player than a superstar.
SP—Luke Weaver:
Weaver's gotten better as the year has gone on, recovering from a horrid April to settle into his 5-2 record. Weaver's still allowing home runs, but he's not walking people, and his strikeout numbers are the best they've been with the Phillies. The offenses Weaver has faced in June have been middle-of-the-road, with the Reds, Rockies, and Cardinals on the docket. Weaver also shutout the Orioles over 7.1 innings, but they're barely a major league team. Weaver has a propensity for home runs, and the Yankees are third in home runs. Weaver will need his defense to start helping lower his BABIP, because when the Yankees crank out their home runs, if they're three-run shots, it'll be tough for the Phillies to overcome.
Yankees:
RP—Nick Rumbelow:
Rumbelow has been a solid reliever for the Yankees the past three seasons, striking out roughly 30% of batters, wielding a 3% strikeout rate, and walking between 5.5% and 7.5% of hitters. This year, though, his walk rate and home rate have spiked, while his strikeout rate is his career low. The Yankees used to have a terrific bullpen, and Rumbelow's struggles are symptomatic of the team's struggles. New York needs their pen to come together and they need Rumbelow to pitch better to turn their second half around.
CL—Aroldis Chapman:
Like Rumbelow, Chapman has picked this season to have the worst season of his career. He allowed four runs in 2 innings for Cuba in the WBC, and now has a 5.76 ERA. Teams have a .365 BABIP against him, and he's walked 16 batters in 25 innings. He's still dominating lefties, but righties have five home runs and 13 walks to 14 strikeouts. The Phillies have a ton of lefties though, so if Chapman can turn things around, tonight would be the night to start.
RF—Jarred Kelenic:
New York's first round pick back in 2018, Kelenic didn't play full season ball until this year when he made the jump from Rookie and Short-Season ball last year to the majors this year. Kelenic was too advanced for his level the past pair of seasons, but he wasn't too old as he's still 22-years-old. Kelenic has shown a very balanced offensive profile, with a .253/.337/.441 which is very nice for a 22-year-old. Kelenic has also shown decent defense in right field. Kelenic doesn't have the pure power of many of his teammates, but the Yankees can use a guy who hits line drives and can keep the offense moving considering how often Aaron Judge makes outs ahead of him. This will be a big stage for Kelenic for the league to witness his play.
TRIVIA: Which Yankee is second All-Time in career saves?
PHI: Thomas Eshelman (5-3, 3.04)
NYY: N. Bremer (0-1, 9.00)
The Philadelphia Phillies are part of a dogfight for the NL East lead, as the entire division has put itself in contention for the playoffs. The Phillies have the best offense in the league, plus the deepest, which will be a problem for a struggling New York Yankees staff. The Yankees were supposed to have a dominant bullpen, but its 12th in AL ERA. Their staff, besieged by injuries, will see Noah Bremer make his second career start. The Yankees can slug their way out of a hole, but can they keep the Phillies to single-digits?
Players to Watch:
Phillies:
CF—Odubel Herrera:
An All-Star the past two years, Herrer'a struggles and Philadelphia's depth have resulted in Herrera getting demoted for Andrew Toles. Herrera's hitting just .213 with three home runs in roughly 200 plate appearances, and with the NL East so cutthroat, the Phillies don't have the luxury of seeing if he'll round into form. With rookie Darick Hall supplying a jolt of power at First Base and moving Yordan Alvarez to DH, the Philies are opting to go for the average-and defense of Andrew Toles in Left Field. Herrera's still getting chances, going 2-7 in a pair of outings last week. Those hits though are his only hits over his last 27 at bats. Should Herrera turn it around, he'll likely be back in the lineup, and is still one of the best insurance policies around.
1B—Yordan Alvarez:
The former Rule-V pick Alvarez has taken his game to another level this year, and will look to show it off—on his birthday! Happy Birthday Yordan! Alvarez hit .257 and .255 his first two seasons, with 26 and 21 home runs. This year, the average is up to .292, and if his power numbers were extrapolated to a full season's worth of games he's on pace for 35. A back injury took a chunk out of Alvarez' season, but he's been injuring the pitching his faced this year. One thing to keep in mind: Some of his production this year has been fueled by uncharacteristic success against left-handed pitching in a small sample. If that reverts, or he simply begins to face more lefties, Alvarez will look more like an excellent supporting player than a superstar.
SP—Luke Weaver:
Weaver's gotten better as the year has gone on, recovering from a horrid April to settle into his 5-2 record. Weaver's still allowing home runs, but he's not walking people, and his strikeout numbers are the best they've been with the Phillies. The offenses Weaver has faced in June have been middle-of-the-road, with the Reds, Rockies, and Cardinals on the docket. Weaver also shutout the Orioles over 7.1 innings, but they're barely a major league team. Weaver has a propensity for home runs, and the Yankees are third in home runs. Weaver will need his defense to start helping lower his BABIP, because when the Yankees crank out their home runs, if they're three-run shots, it'll be tough for the Phillies to overcome.
Yankees:
RP—Nick Rumbelow:
Rumbelow has been a solid reliever for the Yankees the past three seasons, striking out roughly 30% of batters, wielding a 3% strikeout rate, and walking between 5.5% and 7.5% of hitters. This year, though, his walk rate and home rate have spiked, while his strikeout rate is his career low. The Yankees used to have a terrific bullpen, and Rumbelow's struggles are symptomatic of the team's struggles. New York needs their pen to come together and they need Rumbelow to pitch better to turn their second half around.
CL—Aroldis Chapman:
Like Rumbelow, Chapman has picked this season to have the worst season of his career. He allowed four runs in 2 innings for Cuba in the WBC, and now has a 5.76 ERA. Teams have a .365 BABIP against him, and he's walked 16 batters in 25 innings. He's still dominating lefties, but righties have five home runs and 13 walks to 14 strikeouts. The Phillies have a ton of lefties though, so if Chapman can turn things around, tonight would be the night to start.
RF—Jarred Kelenic:
New York's first round pick back in 2018, Kelenic didn't play full season ball until this year when he made the jump from Rookie and Short-Season ball last year to the majors this year. Kelenic was too advanced for his level the past pair of seasons, but he wasn't too old as he's still 22-years-old. Kelenic has shown a very balanced offensive profile, with a .253/.337/.441 which is very nice for a 22-year-old. Kelenic has also shown decent defense in right field. Kelenic doesn't have the pure power of many of his teammates, but the Yankees can use a guy who hits line drives and can keep the offense moving considering how often Aaron Judge makes outs ahead of him. This will be a big stage for Kelenic for the league to witness his play.
TRIVIA: Which Yankee is second All-Time in career saves?