Post by Commissioner Erick on Oct 25, 2019 17:27:37 GMT -5
Toronto Blue Jays (40-31) @ Tampa Bay Rays (41-30)
TOR: Clarke Schmidt (3-7, 5.89)
TB: Brent Honeywell (6-4, 3.43)
The Blue Jays have shown that they're here to stay, as their defense-and-pitching style has them a game out of the AL East lead. However, to truly throw their name in the hat as a contender, they'll need to get better production from their fifth starter spot. Clarke Schmidt has worked to a 5.89 ERA, which isn't good enough. He'll get a chance to prove himself against a Tampa Bay team that's starting to get its act together. Tampa Bay has the second best AL OPS in June, with Patrick Leonard's eight home runs carrying the team. Toronto needs to keep Tampa Bay close, and can join them in a share of the AL East lead with a win, but they'll need Schmidt to step up.
Players to Watch:
Blue Jays
3B—Kole Enright:
Enright had a great sophomore season for the Jays last year, hitting .293 with 19 home runs and eight triples in roughly 100 games. With his average dropped to .235, he's been used as a backup this go around. Toronto has depth so they can play the hot hand, though we're still unsure if last year was a fluke, or whether Enright simply won't have the repetitions to repeat the success. He's been involved in packages with Prince Fielder and for Marcus Stroman, and may need another trade to play a full season of games.
RP—Sam Dyson:
After a blip last year, Dyson is right back to where he was as a successful reliever in Texas. He's keeping the ball in the park with one of the lowest home rate marks in the game, and he's not beating himself with walks. He hardly strikes players out, but if you're going to hit it, you're not going to hit it far. He's pitched 6 innings against the Rays this year without allowing an earned run by relying on that approach. Considering Tampa Bay is third from the bottom in the AL in BABIP, Dyson's approach of keeping things honest works against them.
2B—Cavan Biggio:
The left-handed Biggio hits righties way better than lefties, but Brent Honeywell is not like most righties. He features a screwball, leading to reverse splits. That will be tough for Biggio, who is already struggling at the plate. His Average is .240, and he has only a .365 slugging mark. He'll draw a walk and play solid defense, but he's batting fifth in the lineup. Biggio's saving grace is that he has a solid .774 OPS against righties. Hopefully for him, that number translates and not the 2-9 lifetime mark off of Honeywell.
Rays:
RP—Chance Adams:
Adams' claim to fame is a 3-38 record pitching for Boston's Triple-A affiliate in 2018. He was a replacement-caliber swingman for a few seasons, and has taken off as a long-reliever for Tampa Bay this year. He's walked only seven in 39.2 innings, striking out 44. Adams has been particularly effective with runners on, allowing only one inherited runner out of 12 to score. Should Brent Honeywell need a little help, Ryan Morneau has to feel confident that Adams can come in and hold down the fort.
RF—Jake Bauers:
Bauers still isn't hitting for power, but he's using the entire field and hitting for average. After a brutal start, he's hitting .300 in June to bring his season average up to .262. He also has a number of deep fly outs that can turn into home runs with a little luck. Clarke Schmidt has an ERA near 6, so Bauers may be able to turn some of his deep outs into home runs off him.
C—Buster Posey:
After foot and shoulder injuries ruined Buster Posey's 2020 season, he was slow to get back into the flow last year, hitting just .246 with 11 homers. Further removed from his injuries, Posey's back to his classic self, with a .275 average, 12 doubles, seven homers, and a .13.9% strikeout rate that's fifth in the American League. He's a strong offensive catcher again, but his caught stealing rate is the lowest of his career. Toronto is third in the league in stolen bases and may be aggressive running against Posey.
TRIVIA: Which Pirate has the most single-season International League wins with 17?
TOR: Clarke Schmidt (3-7, 5.89)
TB: Brent Honeywell (6-4, 3.43)
The Blue Jays have shown that they're here to stay, as their defense-and-pitching style has them a game out of the AL East lead. However, to truly throw their name in the hat as a contender, they'll need to get better production from their fifth starter spot. Clarke Schmidt has worked to a 5.89 ERA, which isn't good enough. He'll get a chance to prove himself against a Tampa Bay team that's starting to get its act together. Tampa Bay has the second best AL OPS in June, with Patrick Leonard's eight home runs carrying the team. Toronto needs to keep Tampa Bay close, and can join them in a share of the AL East lead with a win, but they'll need Schmidt to step up.
Players to Watch:
Blue Jays
3B—Kole Enright:
Enright had a great sophomore season for the Jays last year, hitting .293 with 19 home runs and eight triples in roughly 100 games. With his average dropped to .235, he's been used as a backup this go around. Toronto has depth so they can play the hot hand, though we're still unsure if last year was a fluke, or whether Enright simply won't have the repetitions to repeat the success. He's been involved in packages with Prince Fielder and for Marcus Stroman, and may need another trade to play a full season of games.
RP—Sam Dyson:
After a blip last year, Dyson is right back to where he was as a successful reliever in Texas. He's keeping the ball in the park with one of the lowest home rate marks in the game, and he's not beating himself with walks. He hardly strikes players out, but if you're going to hit it, you're not going to hit it far. He's pitched 6 innings against the Rays this year without allowing an earned run by relying on that approach. Considering Tampa Bay is third from the bottom in the AL in BABIP, Dyson's approach of keeping things honest works against them.
2B—Cavan Biggio:
The left-handed Biggio hits righties way better than lefties, but Brent Honeywell is not like most righties. He features a screwball, leading to reverse splits. That will be tough for Biggio, who is already struggling at the plate. His Average is .240, and he has only a .365 slugging mark. He'll draw a walk and play solid defense, but he's batting fifth in the lineup. Biggio's saving grace is that he has a solid .774 OPS against righties. Hopefully for him, that number translates and not the 2-9 lifetime mark off of Honeywell.
Rays:
RP—Chance Adams:
Adams' claim to fame is a 3-38 record pitching for Boston's Triple-A affiliate in 2018. He was a replacement-caliber swingman for a few seasons, and has taken off as a long-reliever for Tampa Bay this year. He's walked only seven in 39.2 innings, striking out 44. Adams has been particularly effective with runners on, allowing only one inherited runner out of 12 to score. Should Brent Honeywell need a little help, Ryan Morneau has to feel confident that Adams can come in and hold down the fort.
RF—Jake Bauers:
Bauers still isn't hitting for power, but he's using the entire field and hitting for average. After a brutal start, he's hitting .300 in June to bring his season average up to .262. He also has a number of deep fly outs that can turn into home runs with a little luck. Clarke Schmidt has an ERA near 6, so Bauers may be able to turn some of his deep outs into home runs off him.
C—Buster Posey:
After foot and shoulder injuries ruined Buster Posey's 2020 season, he was slow to get back into the flow last year, hitting just .246 with 11 homers. Further removed from his injuries, Posey's back to his classic self, with a .275 average, 12 doubles, seven homers, and a .13.9% strikeout rate that's fifth in the American League. He's a strong offensive catcher again, but his caught stealing rate is the lowest of his career. Toronto is third in the league in stolen bases and may be aggressive running against Posey.
TRIVIA: Which Pirate has the most single-season International League wins with 17?