Post by Commissioner Erick on Aug 6, 2022 13:52:18 GMT -5
San Diego Padres (71-79) @ Seattle Mariners (89-61)
SD: Jake Shirey (3-5, 4.75)
SEA: Adam Hall (6-6, 4.26)
Padres 5 Key Stats:
100: RBI’s for John Yancey: San Diego will be out for the rest of the season with a strained hamstring, but there’s no doubt his sophomore campaign and first full season in the majors was a rousing success. Yancey’s average is a touch low—.244—but he walked 75 times, clubbed 33 Home Runs, and legged out nine three-baggers. He did all this while being an adequate Center Fielder as well. San Diego’s found a star in a tough position to find stars. Joe Lancellotti will likely start in his stead tonight.
-1.9: Trevor Larnach’s WAR: Larnach has really struggled this season. He’s played 127 Games, but hit just 11 Home Runs with a .293 On-Base Percentage. That’s a rough combination. His defense has also been abysmal. He held his own in the corners until a rough stint last season, but this year has been a disaster. He has a -15.7 Zone Rating in Right Field, with only a decent eight Outfield Assist number providing any value. He allowed a Juan Marrufo fly ball, of less than 100 mph get over his head to deep Right Field on Friday, then misplayed the carom so horribly that the slow-footed First Baseman hustled home with an inside-the-park Home Run. This may be the last season in the majors for Larnach the way he’s trending.
28.6: San Diego’s Baserunning Value: San Diego’s been the second best baserunning team in the National League, using their legs and their discretion to eek out extra value in a park that’s tough for power. Despite San Diego being 11th in average and ninth in OPS, they’re seventh in runs scored with baserunning a big part of that. The Padres are sixth in total steals, with four players swiping double figures. It’s been a good way to extract offense from a lineup with a few holes.
5.0: Greg Kelly’s WAR: The 23-year-old Second Baseman isa stud. He’s hitting .292 with 20 doubles, 27 homers, and 108 RBI’s. He has a strong glove at Second Base—winning a Gold Glove last year, and one more steal will give him double figures. Kelly makes things happen and should be an All-Star for years to come.
.198: Tetsuo Yamada’s Batting Average: Yamada turned his career around last year with a strong 2027, but has been mired in the minors most of this year, and struggle when his number has been called upon. He hasn’t gotten on base and hasn’t adapted to learning Third Base. He may finish out the season if Royce Lewis doesn’t get called up from the IL, but will be a non-tender candidate this offseason.
Mariners 5 Key Stats:
4.30: Adam Hall’s ERA as a Starting Pitcher: Most hurlers see their effectiveness drop off moving from the pen to the rotation, but Hall’s been the same arm for the most part. In 47 bullpen innings, he has a 4.21 ERA and in 52.1 innings as a starter, Hall has a 4.30 ERA. The reason is a change in Hall’s approach. In the pen, he’s a flamethrower, striking out 68 hitters, but allowing five homers as well. Hall isn’t as aggressive as a starter. He only has 44 whiffs, but has allowed just two home runs. He’ll look to continue to keep the ball in the park tonight when he takes the mound against the Padres.
6: Home Runs hit by Reese McGuire the past two years: McGuire has been worth 5.0 WAR the past two years despite virtually no over-the-fence power. He’s managed to be productive due to a still great approach, some doubles, and a good glove. This year, McGuire’s getting on base at a.364 clip and has 16 doubles. He also has 58 walks to 63 strikeouts. He’s allowed the Mariners to have stable Catcher play even after losing former MVP Tomoya Mori.
35: Consecutive Saves Converted by Anyelo Luna: Long Cowboy Lorenzen’s understudy, Luna has taken over the closer role and been sensational. He has 36 Saves this year and a 2.34 ERA. Luna seldom allows baserunners, with a 0.98 WHIP. Luna was worth 3.0 WAR in 2025 and 2.7 WAR last year, so he’s long been an elite PBA reliever. This year, his WAR is a little bit down, mostly due to a slight increase in walks. If he keeps the ball in the park the next few weeks, this will be his third season of the last four allowing precisely two homers for the year. Luna stays healthy and gets results, and for that he’s one of the more underrated players in the PBA.
14: Home runs allowed by Michael Lorenzen: Speaking of elite relief arms, Cowboy Lorenzen has been one of the best to ever do it. 253 Saves with a 2.76 ERA, Lorenzen’s spent an entire career racking up elite strikeout numbers out of the pen, and keeping the ball in the park most years. Three times he’s had an ERA under 2, and six times he’s had a WAR over 2. He may be nearing the end of his rodeo games, as he’s found hitters harder to round up at age 36. His 14 home runs are a career high as his strikeout rate has cratered. He has to throw with more effort to keep his fastball in the low 90’s, and the arm action has taken his changeup out of being a dominating weapon to a more easily telegraphed one. The old Cowboy still has guile and wits, allowing him to outperform his FIP by nearly a full run. He has a player option for $6 million next year he’ll certainly pick up and may hang around for one year in a lower leverage role, but it’s almost impossible to see him pitching with a PBA team in 2030.
1.03: Woo-seok Ko’s WHIP: The PBA single-game strikeout king, Ko has remade himself as a reliever and done a good job with it. He doesn’t strike out as many hitters as he did in his heyday, but still strikes out a batter an inning. He doesn’t walk many hitters, and doesn’t give up many homers or doubles. Ko has four more years left on his contract at ascending money, and he was promised a starting role, so we’ll see if he continues to pitch out of the pen in the future.
Questions for the GMs:
For Creig McBride, any youngsters you want to get a look at today?
Royce Lewis and Adrian Morejon are scheduled to come off the IL. Will we see them today?
Alejandro Diaz has come in and gotten on base at a .402 clip. Could you pencil him in as your starting First Baseman next year?
For Dean Wiley, you’ve operated most of this season without a Third Base Coach. Any thoughts on adding one before the postseason?
Who will take Josh Carlson and Chris Degenkolb’s spot in the rotation?
How has the Joe Rizzo acquisition worked out for you?
TRIVIA: Among pitchers in their final seasons, which pitcher had the most WAR?
SD: Jake Shirey (3-5, 4.75)
SEA: Adam Hall (6-6, 4.26)
Padres 5 Key Stats:
100: RBI’s for John Yancey: San Diego will be out for the rest of the season with a strained hamstring, but there’s no doubt his sophomore campaign and first full season in the majors was a rousing success. Yancey’s average is a touch low—.244—but he walked 75 times, clubbed 33 Home Runs, and legged out nine three-baggers. He did all this while being an adequate Center Fielder as well. San Diego’s found a star in a tough position to find stars. Joe Lancellotti will likely start in his stead tonight.
-1.9: Trevor Larnach’s WAR: Larnach has really struggled this season. He’s played 127 Games, but hit just 11 Home Runs with a .293 On-Base Percentage. That’s a rough combination. His defense has also been abysmal. He held his own in the corners until a rough stint last season, but this year has been a disaster. He has a -15.7 Zone Rating in Right Field, with only a decent eight Outfield Assist number providing any value. He allowed a Juan Marrufo fly ball, of less than 100 mph get over his head to deep Right Field on Friday, then misplayed the carom so horribly that the slow-footed First Baseman hustled home with an inside-the-park Home Run. This may be the last season in the majors for Larnach the way he’s trending.
28.6: San Diego’s Baserunning Value: San Diego’s been the second best baserunning team in the National League, using their legs and their discretion to eek out extra value in a park that’s tough for power. Despite San Diego being 11th in average and ninth in OPS, they’re seventh in runs scored with baserunning a big part of that. The Padres are sixth in total steals, with four players swiping double figures. It’s been a good way to extract offense from a lineup with a few holes.
5.0: Greg Kelly’s WAR: The 23-year-old Second Baseman isa stud. He’s hitting .292 with 20 doubles, 27 homers, and 108 RBI’s. He has a strong glove at Second Base—winning a Gold Glove last year, and one more steal will give him double figures. Kelly makes things happen and should be an All-Star for years to come.
.198: Tetsuo Yamada’s Batting Average: Yamada turned his career around last year with a strong 2027, but has been mired in the minors most of this year, and struggle when his number has been called upon. He hasn’t gotten on base and hasn’t adapted to learning Third Base. He may finish out the season if Royce Lewis doesn’t get called up from the IL, but will be a non-tender candidate this offseason.
Mariners 5 Key Stats:
4.30: Adam Hall’s ERA as a Starting Pitcher: Most hurlers see their effectiveness drop off moving from the pen to the rotation, but Hall’s been the same arm for the most part. In 47 bullpen innings, he has a 4.21 ERA and in 52.1 innings as a starter, Hall has a 4.30 ERA. The reason is a change in Hall’s approach. In the pen, he’s a flamethrower, striking out 68 hitters, but allowing five homers as well. Hall isn’t as aggressive as a starter. He only has 44 whiffs, but has allowed just two home runs. He’ll look to continue to keep the ball in the park tonight when he takes the mound against the Padres.
6: Home Runs hit by Reese McGuire the past two years: McGuire has been worth 5.0 WAR the past two years despite virtually no over-the-fence power. He’s managed to be productive due to a still great approach, some doubles, and a good glove. This year, McGuire’s getting on base at a.364 clip and has 16 doubles. He also has 58 walks to 63 strikeouts. He’s allowed the Mariners to have stable Catcher play even after losing former MVP Tomoya Mori.
35: Consecutive Saves Converted by Anyelo Luna: Long Cowboy Lorenzen’s understudy, Luna has taken over the closer role and been sensational. He has 36 Saves this year and a 2.34 ERA. Luna seldom allows baserunners, with a 0.98 WHIP. Luna was worth 3.0 WAR in 2025 and 2.7 WAR last year, so he’s long been an elite PBA reliever. This year, his WAR is a little bit down, mostly due to a slight increase in walks. If he keeps the ball in the park the next few weeks, this will be his third season of the last four allowing precisely two homers for the year. Luna stays healthy and gets results, and for that he’s one of the more underrated players in the PBA.
14: Home runs allowed by Michael Lorenzen: Speaking of elite relief arms, Cowboy Lorenzen has been one of the best to ever do it. 253 Saves with a 2.76 ERA, Lorenzen’s spent an entire career racking up elite strikeout numbers out of the pen, and keeping the ball in the park most years. Three times he’s had an ERA under 2, and six times he’s had a WAR over 2. He may be nearing the end of his rodeo games, as he’s found hitters harder to round up at age 36. His 14 home runs are a career high as his strikeout rate has cratered. He has to throw with more effort to keep his fastball in the low 90’s, and the arm action has taken his changeup out of being a dominating weapon to a more easily telegraphed one. The old Cowboy still has guile and wits, allowing him to outperform his FIP by nearly a full run. He has a player option for $6 million next year he’ll certainly pick up and may hang around for one year in a lower leverage role, but it’s almost impossible to see him pitching with a PBA team in 2030.
1.03: Woo-seok Ko’s WHIP: The PBA single-game strikeout king, Ko has remade himself as a reliever and done a good job with it. He doesn’t strike out as many hitters as he did in his heyday, but still strikes out a batter an inning. He doesn’t walk many hitters, and doesn’t give up many homers or doubles. Ko has four more years left on his contract at ascending money, and he was promised a starting role, so we’ll see if he continues to pitch out of the pen in the future.
Questions for the GMs:
For Creig McBride, any youngsters you want to get a look at today?
Royce Lewis and Adrian Morejon are scheduled to come off the IL. Will we see them today?
Alejandro Diaz has come in and gotten on base at a .402 clip. Could you pencil him in as your starting First Baseman next year?
For Dean Wiley, you’ve operated most of this season without a Third Base Coach. Any thoughts on adding one before the postseason?
Who will take Josh Carlson and Chris Degenkolb’s spot in the rotation?
How has the Joe Rizzo acquisition worked out for you?
TRIVIA: Among pitchers in their final seasons, which pitcher had the most WAR?
